Consequences of the Egyptian insurrection:
The United States is in trouble because of its military support of Arab autocrats throughout the Middle East -- oil being the chief U.S. concern. Arab peoples who turn against their governments, as in Egypt, will consider the U.S. to be partly responsible for theirgrievances and could, if successful, cut off oil supplies to the U.S. The U.S. has historically feared democracy in Arab countries. The history of U.S. support of autocrats (despite rhetoric about democracy) has an extensive and established history: support of Marcos(Pilippines), the Shah (Iran), Duvalier (Haiti), Ceausescu (Romania),Suharto (Indonesia), Samoza (Nicaragua), Pinochet (Chile), Hussein(Iraq, until 9/11), King Fahd (Saudi Arabia), Mubarak (Egypt) and many others.
Obama has to be cautious, having recently praised Mubarak and needing to assure Saudi Arabia, which has ties to Mubarak, that the U.S. will continue its military support of Saudi Arabia in exchange for oil. Regarding Israel, also a supporter of Mubarak and sole solid U.S. ally in the Middle East, the U.S. cannot afford to disturb this relationship. Israel provides a military launching pad for U.S.armaments and would join the U.S. were war to erupt in the Middle
East. What this means is that the Palestinians will continue to be ignored by Obama despite his rhetoric about a two-state solution. The Palestinians, under the boot of the Israeli army and crowded out of land and livelihood, will pass into obscurity through neglect and, most likely diminish their numbers through emigration to surrounding
Arab countries. The tiny disastrous Gaza Strip, suffering malnutrition under Israeli siege, will likely be disposed of by being handed off to Egypt.